They’ve usually got a Pixar movie in mid -June and then another Marvel movie (even if it’s a Sony Spider-Man flick) in early July. Of course, they could, but would they want to? The MCU already has the summer kick-off date sewn up and Memorial Day seems downright cursed for the Mouse House (pray for Aladdin).
You may be asking why can’t Disney just slate a new Star Wars movie outside of December. That would actually be a pretty appropriate four-year-gap between Rise of Skywalker and whatever else comes next. Presuming Disney would rather keep Star Wars in the same slot where they’ve been kicking butt since 2015, the first opening would be December of 2023. saw an opening in mid-December of 2022 and scheduled James Wan’s Aquaman sequel for December 16, 2022.
But wait, there’s more! Because Warner Bros. And then we’ll get a two-year break from Avatar sequels before Avatar 4 opens on Decemand Avatar 5 seemingly ends the saga on December 19, 2025. Presuming Cameron sticks to his schedule (and Avatar 2 performs at least well enough to avoid panic over Avatar 3), that third installment will open on December 17, 2021. Since Disney now owns Fox, Disney now owns James Cameron’s four planned Avatar sequels, the first of which will debut on December 18, 2020, or one year and one day after Rise of Skywalker. Presuming that Disney intends to keep Star Wars as an end-of-year Christmas cash cow, and frankly, it should, then this will be the last Christmas at least until 2023 that isn’t otherwise occupied. There’s another perfectly logical reason The Rise of Skywalker is going to be the last theatrical Star Wars movie for a while: In short, there’s no place to release it.
So unless Kathleen Kennedy has the Time Stone (or a time-turner), new Star Wars filmed content will be found exclusively on Disney+ ( The Mandalorian, Clone Wars, etc.) for a while.
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